Oil Climbs to New High Near $121

PUKmedia          11:40      2008/05/06

Supply worries, optimism about U.S. economy support recent price surge.
Oil futures hit an all-time high near $121 a barrel in Asian trade Tuesday on worries about threats to supply and a weakening of the U.S. dollar.
U.S. crude for June delivery rose to a record $120.93 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange on Tuesday. The contract later retreated to $120.47 a barrel, up 50 cents from Monday's close.
Analysts say the surge in oil prices was partly driven by hopes that the U.S. economy will be spared a sharp downturn after the release of data showing an unexpected expansion in the U.S. service sector in April.
Supply outages or potential threats to supply in Iran, Nigeria and Iraq, and the greenback's decline, also supported prices.
"The bulls are in control of the market," said Victor Shum, an energy analyst with Purvin & Gertz in Singapore. "The economic report out of the U.S. yesterday on the service sector seems to suggest the economic slowdown may not be as deep as initially thought."
"The sentiment is that the oil pricing is likely going to stay quite strong, with a lot of volatility," Shum said.
The dollar weakened against the euro on Monday, attracting investors to oil and other commodities viewed as hedges against inflation. Also, a falling dollar makes oil less expensive to investors overseas. A series of U.S. Federal Reserve rate cuts starting last year weakened the dollar considerably against foreign currencies, and analysts blame the dollar's protracted decline for oil's sharp rise this spring.
Supply outages or potential threats to supply emerged in Iran and Nigeria over the weekend and from Iraq on Monday; events in all three nations have caused prices to spike many times in recent months.
In Iraq, Kurdish rebels warned they could launch suicide attacks against American interests to punish the U.S. for sharing intelligence with Turkey after Turkey bombed rebel bases in Iraq on Friday. In Nigeria, a Royal Dutch Shell PLC spokesman said attackers hit an oil facility belonging to Shell's joint venture in southern Nigeria and that some oil production has been shut down. And Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei said his country will not bend to international pressure and give up its nuclear program.
Energy investors grow concerned any time conflict breaks out or is threatened in the oil-rich Middle East. Years of unrest in Nigeria have cut off nearly a quarter of the major U.S. supplier's oil output.
Amid the occasional threats to crude supplies, global demand for oil continues to grow. While demand for oil and gasoline has been soft in the U.S., the Chinese and Indian economies are growing by double digits, boosting global demand for oil.
In other Nymex trading, heating oil futures rose 0.24 cent to $3.3089 a gallon (3.8 liters) while gasoline prices added 0.31 cent to $3.056 a gallon. Natural gas futures gained 1.2 cents to $11.19 per 1,000 cubic feet.
Brent crude futures rose 19 cents to $118.18 a barrel on the ICE Futures exchange in London.
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From: CNN